Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.375028 3.579177 3.796058 4.044799 4.323690 4.628529 4.989405
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.167925 3.452977 3.771307 4.157310 4.618602 5.160171 5.856734
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.038962 3.391396 3.802601 4.327361 4.994262 5.836586 7.023232
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.815102 3.195352 3.653489 4.261307 5.072453 6.161657 7.826791
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.610404 3.004034 3.490971 4.158581 5.088518 6.409413 8.596824
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.452532 2.858003 3.371961 4.098914 5.154904 6.743644 9.614730
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.322201 2.737047 3.274750 4.057832 5.242518 7.131702 10.885334
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.248335 2.683799 3.262621 4.134580 5.519491 7.895900 13.273876
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.105192 2.528865 3.099194 3.973404 5.398036 7.943423 14.169371
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.036348 2.470108 3.065620 4.003833 5.597841 8.647132 17.250435
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.966661 2.405649 3.018727 4.008388 5.755036 9.322771 21.059067
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.872172 2.301275 2.906584 3.897959 5.688694 9.501892 23.471677
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.765046 2.182294 2.778016 3.771044 5.617173 9.764504 27.471121
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.722630 2.153349 2.782515 3.867694 6.004683 11.384594 45.721319
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.693373 2.141632 2.812736 4.014821 6.545555 13.915627 120.382653
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.622120 2.063553 2.732720 3.954989 6.622305 15.082898 333.333624
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.550608 1.981390 2.640670 3.863293 6.608693 15.968136 12443.393986
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.492344 1.916385 2.572282 3.809641 6.681311 17.376910 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.441808 1.860654 2.515474 3.772536 6.792202 19.212269 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.413312 1.837356 2.511024 3.839173 7.207943 23.692874 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.351765 1.759638 2.409471 3.696796 6.995003 23.706053 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.322067 1.730671 2.389758 3.723067 7.295456 28.692811 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.290786 1.697676 2.360849 3.726644 7.533286 34.499763 NaN